⊙天相投顾王巍峰
8月1日,在周边市场大幅下挫和短线资金获利回吐影响下,上证指数大跌170点,之后的六个交易日,沪指连收阳线,8月9日收盘突破4700点,当日沪深两市总市值突破21万亿元,超过了2006年国内生产总值。
我们注意到,这一波的上涨大盘蓝筹股表现明显强于市场整体。天相风格指数显示,8月1日到8月9日期间,上证指数上涨10.55%,同时期大盘指数上涨14.16%,强于上证指数3.06个百分点,而中盘指数和小盘指数的走势均弱于上证指数;这一期间大市值指数累计涨幅达11.77%,强于同时期上证指数的涨幅,比小市值指数涨幅高出4.55个百分点。
大盘新一轮的上涨是从7月6日开始的,截至8月10日,上证指数较7月份的最低点上涨了31.35%,同时期大市值指数累计上涨幅度为33.80%,高于上证指数涨幅2.45个百分点。规模大的公司一般都是行业内的龙头企业,相对具有规模优势,盈利增长比较稳定,而业绩持续稳定的增长对其股价上涨会起到支撑作用。
我们把沪深A股按流通市值排名,除去ST公司,选累计流通市值前50%的个股作为大市值股票。符合条件的股票共有115只,主要分布于金融、有色、房地产、钢铁、电力等行业。流通市值前五位中有四家属于金融行业,按流通市值排序分别是中信证券、招商银行、浦发银行、民生银行,这四家公司流通市值均超过1000亿元,前五位中另一家公司为万科,是一家房地产上市公司,流通市值高达1725亿远,紧随中信证券之后居第二名。这115家公司中,流通市值低于200亿的公司有62家,占大市值个股总数的比例为53.45%,流通市值最小的是7月份新上市的南京银行,不过流通市值也超过了100亿元。我们看到,这些股票中2007年以来涨幅超过100%的有90只,占比78.45%,其中48只股票的涨幅超过了200%。大市值股票中2007年以来涨幅最小的前三名为工商银行、中国银行、华闻传媒,涨幅均在10%以内。
我们考虑到上市公司近几年的业绩增长等基本面情况,采用PEG(市盈率/近三年净利润复合增长率)对大市值股进行估值,发现虽然经过这一轮上涨,仍然存在一些价值低估的大市值股票,主要集中在有色、钢铁、交运等行业,投资者不妨多加关注。
大市值个股基本面及市场表现一览
代码名称收盘价(元)(0810)涨幅(%)流通市值基金持股占流通股比例(%)每股收益(06年报)市盈率(倍)06年报净利近三年复合增长率(%)PEG行业
(0101-0810)(万元)
601988中国银行5.817.853,030,9360.310.170035.2013.432.62金融
601398工商银行6.698.326,004,2303.790.150045.8729.611.55金融
000793华闻传媒9.798.541,142,520-0.0500204.59-188.07-传媒
601333广深铁路8.7823.221,520,9490.440.100487.4911.027.94铁路运输
600887伊利股份32.8824.481,546,80412.390.670049.2819.962.47食品
600018上港集团9.6038.542,191,648-0.141268.0043.761.55航运业
600832东方明珠16.8447.331,635,9091.150.208080.9415.585.19传媒
000063中兴通讯57.7848.192,691,26024.370.840068.672.3728.94通信
600050中国联通6.9751.055,792,3064.000.170040.5416.132.51通信
600583海油工程44.2053.312,130,9599.680.940056.2156.111.00建筑业
600001邯郸钢铁6.8960.231,728,1970.760.321021.6912.611.72钢铁
600519贵州茅台139.9660.335,898,27430.871.590087.8236.862.38食品
601328交通银行13.0064.561,990,7770.500.280050.27--金融
600028中国石化15.1567.385,429,76014.780.584025.9338.640.67石化
600016民生银行14.9073.8111,186,95715.950.380056.3040.171.40金融
000792盐湖钾肥40.3675.281,640,52819.301.057838.15102.790.37化工
600276恒瑞医药44.1178.601,131,90030.900.623092.0129.793.09医药
600585海螺水泥55.0084.001,416,66922.681.140060.3324.522.46建材
600690青岛海尔17.1788.091,357,22815.690.262065.44-194.76-家电
601998中信银行10.9488.621,927,4700.910.1200114.61--金融
600019宝钢股份16.0290.066,181,73822.360.740021.5623.090.93钢铁
600900长江电力18.3190.848,041,84917.180.442047.6236.041.32电力
600879XD火箭股29.3990.971,140,55714.160.440074.1420.793.57机械
000039中集集团30.1094.032,459,21225.491.250028.9159.530.49机械
000858五粮液32.4999.394,882,12318.140.4320105.4018.515.69食品
601009南京银行22.40103.641,095,728-0.4900金融
600037歌华有线31.80105.291,911,23618.580.650077.9322.363.48传媒
600011华能国际13.00105.813,390,4590.870.460028.240.5749.87电力
600015华夏银行15.10106.282,619,2907.360.350043.5322.041.97金融
600009上海机场39.51108.943,892,79025.810.790050.3132.971.53民航业
600000浦发银行44.59110.1114,737,94927.800.770057.9128.892.00金融
601006大秦铁路16.79110.913,531,84112.580.340049.8541.971.19铁路运输
600320振华港机25.06114.793,010,9222.630.520048.1979.370.61机械
600143金发科技43.05115.851,233,38633.380.960092.5749.141.88化工
000895双汇发展45.15116.651,361,23133.750.890059.9420.072.99食品
600309烟台万华37.50117.093,168,54539.990.700075.5252.631.43化工
600839四川长虹9.25120.921,255,107-0.161057.4014.144.06家电
000568泸州老窖56.00120.992,178,75242.030.3900144.97100.371.44食品
600036招商银行36.34123.2217,003,63548.770.480075.1847.171.59金融
600694大商股份66.00126.121,426,48548.110.880075.0045.651.64商业
600642申能股份16.61131.262,337,3060.710.627026.5016.861.57电力
600631百联股份21.80131.701,488,8740.420.240089.4856.491.58商业
600664S哈药15.46132.831,277,032-0.370041.6011.683.56医药
000825太钢不锈23.27133.352,440,37324.860.911033.2158.340.57钢铁
000024招商地产66.20134.312,121,75430.790.918085.5819.784.33房地产开发
601588北辰实业15.61134.391,565,600-0.1000156.8113.8511.32房地产开发
600660福耀玻璃34.31134.741,633,70433.480.610056.5923.682.39汽车及配件
002024苏宁电器53.93137.583,959,27852.841.0000107.9393.841.15商业
600005武钢股份14.78139.264,035,61027.440.497029.7389.880.33钢铁
000402金融街40.58144.122,764,24422.060.490083.2836.312.29园区土地开发
600649原水股份13.85145.661,588,905-0.298546.399.434.92供水供气
600010包钢股份7.65146.862,070,085-0.190039.684.958.01钢铁
600795国电电力15.18147.711,557,524-0.411038.6414.022.76电力
000932华菱管线10.38148.011,139,348-0.486421.5512.041.79钢铁
601628中国人寿48.02155.214,410,00026.040.3400141.37115.151.23金融
601919中国远洋21.70155.901,935,49512.060.2000158.25--航运业
600026中海发展27.73171.261,236,65916.910.830133.4141.130.81航运业
600383金地集团49.49171.482,204,61822.140.670093.2639.072.39房地产开发
代码名称收盘价(元)(0810)涨幅(%)流通市值基金持股占流通股比例(%)每股收益(06年报)市盈率(倍)06年报净利近三年复合增长率(%)PEG行业
(0101-0810)(万元)
000069华侨城A59.88173.683,071,51143.160.5230114.5536.243.16房地产开发
600030中信证券77.00182.1917,289,13523.190.800096.8286.501.12金融
601318中国平安95.39183.067,643,47546.770.9700117.0541.652.81金融
000157中联重科42.55187.491,841,11622.730.948567.2927.732.43机械
000898鞍钢股份28.78190.373,132,80317.661.154024.9568.430.36钢铁
600601方正科技8.04191.461,365,651-0.190075.289.757.72计算机硬件
000046泛海建设54.86193.371,258,0333.290.3400161.5191.041.77房地产开发
601111中国国航15.07194.021,803,3119.460.260057.85145.600.40民航业
000423东阿阿胶29.33199.951,224,11124.510.380099.8516.705.98医药
600104上海汽车24.35200.003,605,63016.590.2180111.95-197.94-汽车及配件
601166兴业银行47.96202.783,366,20232.470.950063.1338.361.65金融
000060中金岭南47.01204.281,989,6847.281.710030.30166.160.18有色
000651格力电器36.46207.161,891,09917.480.780046.7523.032.03家电
600895张江高科21.27209.491,306,51515.300.1800116.338.1314.30园区土地开发
600497驰宏锌锗86.00210.401,683,517-5.315232.36204.920.16有色
000629攀钢钢钒11.06212.521,666,165-0.320041.5212.123.43钢铁
600219南山铝业28.38215.681,429,28030.170.2800216.404.9543.69有色
000001深发展A39.00216.286,202,30119.610.670062.4660.261.04金融
600717天津港28.16217.282,036,69121.210.360079.1820.773.81航运业
600031三一重工51.00217.402,349,00117.021.160087.8519.724.45机械
600100同方股份34.52220.311,408,11318.860.2795135.1012.3210.96计算机硬件
600089特变电工48.26224.391,403,89124.990.506795.2425.993.66电气设备
000002万科A33.76230.2117,250,88833.430.4930102.7058.391.76房地产开发
000027深能源A27.48235.451,558,3649.430.670041.303.8810.63电力
000709唐钢股份18.45238.272,021,28126.440.630029.2717.331.69钢铁
000562宏源证券41.53242.311,971,974-0.1560266.27124.672.14金融
600048保利地产75.27247.693,353,01532.281.2000140.10111.101.26房地产开发
000933神火股份39.30256.121,242,03811.170.805048.8335.181.39煤炭
000623吉林敖东59.25258.012,990,9144.211.350087.5757.601.52医药
000630铜都铜业23.90258.821,372,089-0.680035.3653.370.66有色
000800一汽轿车14.50259.801,140,2183.050.213567.93-192.50-汽车及配件
600881亚泰集团25.64277.612,692,010-0.1020250.539.5126.34建材
600550天威保变35.22287.031,198,792-0.5400129.7970.811.83电气设备
600655豫园商城34.92287.211,862,0884.020.3700122.7250.862.41商业
000758中色股份31.86287.581,233,8465.900.572055.7260.670.92建筑业
601001大同煤业36.94298.141,255,5276.470.570064.2628.662.24煤炭
600675中华企业33.26300.962,025,66812.590.616070.2134.812.02房地产开发
000751锌业股份22.35301.981,551,368-0.2200103.0455.171.87有色
600177雅戈尔28.75311.593,664,3543.910.423984.7923.573.60纺织服装
600489中金黄金79.77324.821,172,0578.110.5300150.9854.922.75有色
000338潍柴动力91.30346.021,748,29327.132.070069.4635.691.95汽车及配件
600331宏达股份68.99352.341,687,9819.681.532245.03139.450.32有色
600739辽宁成大44.85353.253,435,99518.790.940085.60137.600.62贸易
601168西部矿业61.45355.861,978,561-4.800095.16--有色
600029南方航空17.60360.221,600,0009.020.0300652.42101.206.45民航业
000031中粮地产43.20368.551,675,6524.710.2500173.2327.026.41房地产开发
000983西山煤电41.26368.992,364,49322.180.804051.3248.171.07煤炭
601991大唐发电24.79383.351,498,481-0.4800107.0413.807.76电力
600068葛洲坝16.79393.581,199,510-0.0670249.3312.0220.75建筑业
600635大众公用13.15404.431,305,492-0.1200153.56-194.84-综合
000652泰达股份28.63404.802,195,70914.140.1000291.773.4085.84综合
000878云南铜业55.25411.832,099,32813.621.508057.63129.680.44有色
600811东方集团37.93422.103,017,551-0.1600284.177.1639.69综合
000527美的电器31.53435.272,946,6652.470.800078.6444.391.77家电
601600中国铝业35.89446.503,749,6211.600.970040.82--有色
000960锡业股份50.00467.851,332,6048.340.3960126.2766.831.89有色
600150中国船舶191.36503.101,975,98347.181.0190187.8187.802.14机械
数据来源:天相投顾
(来源:上海证券报)
搜狐证券声明:本频道资讯内容系转引自合作媒体及合作机构,不代表搜狐证券自身观点与立场,建议投资者对此资讯谨慎判断,据此入市,风险自担。
(责任编辑:康慧)